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Gamblecode > Blog > Platform Comparison > State of Origin Game 3 Betting Preview

State of Origin Game 3 Betting Preview

The team By The team 13 November 2025 3 Min Read
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State of Origin Game 3 Betting Preview

State of Origin Series Reaches Climax

The State of Origin series is nearing its conclusion, with Queensland and New South Wales set to face off in a thrilling decider in Sydney. After Queensland’s impressive win in Perth, the series is now level, and both teams are eager to claim the shield.

Contents
State of Origin Series Reaches ClimaxExpert PredictionsKey Matchups and Betting OddsFactors That Could Influence the OutcomeLatrell Mitchell’s ImpactBetting Tips and OddsConclusion

Expert Predictions

Several experts have weighed in with their predictions for the upcoming match. Chris Danks believes that New South Wales will have too much class for Queensland, despite the Maroons’ sentimental advantage. He predicts that the Blues will outpace Queensland, with Payne Haas and Nathan Cleary laying a solid platform for their backline.

Key Matchups and Betting Odds

The match is expected to be closely contested, with several key matchups that could decide the outcome. Brian To’o and Latrell Mitchell are tipped to combine for 2+ tries, with odds of $2.20. Another value bet is New South Wales to win by 31+ points, with Queensland scoring between 11 and 20 points, at odds of $6.00.

Factors That Could Influence the Outcome

Joshua Mayne points out that discipline will be crucial in the opening 40 minutes, as it was in Game II. If New South Wales can play clean, simple football, they have the talent to get the job done. The last time a decider was played in Sydney, 28 of the 34 total match points were scored in the first half, so early action is expected.

Latrell Mitchell’s Impact

Tom Naghten believes that Latrell Mitchell will be let loose on Queensland, and the Blues will finally start to get some early ball to their strike weapons on the edge. With a full camp under their belts, Nathan Cleary and Jarome Luai should be able to recapture the spark that led them to success at the Panthers and steer New South Wales to victory.

Betting Tips and Odds

Some of the best bets for the match include:

  • Brian To’o and Latrell Mitchell to combine for 2+ tries ($2.20)
  • New South Wales to lead after 20 minutes ($1.89)
  • Latrell Mitchell to score 2+ tries ($6.00)
  • First half points under 21.5 ($1.84)

Conclusion

The State of Origin series decider is set to be a thrilling match, with both teams eager to claim the shield. With expert predictions, key matchups, and betting odds all pointing to a closely contested match, it’s anyone’s game. Will New South Wales make their home ground advantage count, or will Queensland snatch victory on hostile territory? One thing is certain – it’s going to be a wild ride.

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