Introduction to the Manchester Derby
Manchester City host Manchester United in the Manchester derby at Etihad Stadium, with kick-off set for 17:30 on Sunday 14 September. This Premier League betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news, and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
Can Citizens Gain the Upper Hand?
Man City look a great bet to beat Man United on the Full-Time Result market. You can get odds of 1.74 with Stake that the home team claim a victory, and this looks like a value wager based on the latest stats and team news. Following our City win tip, don’t forget to grab the newest Stake promo code and read our full review to boost your betting strategy.
Recent Performance
Manchester City have lost back-to-back Premier League games. Away at American Express Stadium, Brighton recently beat them 2-1. Pep Guardiola’s team enjoyed 64% possession and had three shots on target, with Erling Haaland being the goalscorer. Manchester United claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 3-2 win occurred against Burnley at Old Trafford. The Red Devils had the lion’s share of the ball, enjoying 62% possession and six shots on goal, while Josh Cullen (own goal), Bryan Mbeumo, and Bruno Fernandes found the net.
Head-to-Head Statistics
United are unbeaten in the past three games against City, with the last clash ending in a 0-0 draw at Old Trafford. The previous 10 H2H games have included six wins for City, three triumphs for United, and a single draw.
Manchester City – Last 10 League Games
7 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals from 14.6 attempts and 4.8 shots on goal. City have had 62.9% possession, 587.1 passes, and 5.8 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 0.8 goals from 8.4 attempts and 2.9 shots on goal, while earning 2.5 corners. Top goalscorer Erling Haaland has found the net 4 times, with Bernardo Silva, Omar Marmoush, Kevin De Bruyne, and Mateo Kovacic scoring 2 each. Ilkay Gundogan is the leading assists maker on 3, with goalkeepers Ederson, James Trafford, and Stefan Ortega keeping 5 clean sheets between them.
Manchester United – Last 10 League Games
United have won 2, lost 6, and drawn 2, with an average of 1.1 goals from 16.6 attempts and 5.0 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 56.9% possession, 485.4 passes, 5.4 corners awarded, and 5.0 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 1.7 goals from 9.0 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal. The leading scorers have been Amad and Alejandro Garnacho with 2, while Bruno Fernandes has 1. Diogo Dalot and Manuel Ugarte have managed 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Altay Bayindir has one clean sheet to his name.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Manchester City predicted lineup (4-1-4-1): Gianluigi Donnarumma (GK), Rico Lewis, Abdukodir Khusanov, Ruben Dias, Josko Gvardiol, Rodri, Oscar Bobb, Bernardo Silva, Tijjani Reijnders, Jeremy Doku, Erling Haaland. Manchester United predicted lineup (4-4-2): Altay Bayindir (GK), Leny Yoro, Matthijs de Ligt, Luke Shaw, Noussair Mazraoui, Casemiro, Kobbie Mainoo, Patrick Dorgu, Bryan Mbeumo, Bruno Fernandes, Joshua Zirkzee.
Manchester City vs Manchester United Prediction & Betting Tips
We’ve broken down Manchester City vs Manchester United from every angle, offering our expert match prediction, expected final score, best corners pick, player prop recommendations, and a well-constructed bet builder.
Match Prediction
We believe there’s a strong case for siding with Man City. That’s because we think they could prove too strong in this Premier League encounter, and odds of 1.74 are highly attractive. The form guide is always considered, and it’s great to also use the Premier League team news as it filters through ahead of kick-off. In our quest for the best possible football predictions, the latest stats are scrutinized so that we have the best data.
Key Statistics
- City have won 4 of their last 5 games at home.
- City have won 7 of their last 10 games.
- United have lost 6 of their last 10 games.
- United have lost 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
- City have won 6 of their last 10 games against United.
City to Win Probability
The best football betting sites make it a 57.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our experts have this number between 60-65% based on their in-depth research. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.
Odds and Betting Options
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different from the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
City Betting Favourites to Win
With a 57% prospect of triumphing according to the 1×2 odds, Manchester City are favourites to come out on top in this Premier League clash and they’re available at 1.75 with the bookmakers. Manchester United are seen as the most unlikely winner at 4.30. If City at -0.75 beat United by one goal, then you get a win with half your stake and the other half refunded. A victory by 2+ goals means a full payout at Asian Handicap odds of 1.95.
Various Betting Markets
For those expecting a high-scoring contest, Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest price. BTTS Yes is available at 1.58 for anyone expecting Both Teams to Score. There are hundreds of markets, which means lots of options to find a football bet for the latest Premier League match. The best betting sites leave no stone unturned to provide a first-class service.
Player-Specific Odds
Player Goals
Erling Haaland can be backed to find the net anytime at 1.68, with 3.45 available that the market leader scores the first goal.
Player Shots On Target
Bryan Mbeumo, Benjamin Sesko, Erling Haaland, and Omar Marmoush are among the top players to have shots on target.
Player Shots
Erling Haaland, Omar Marmoush, Bryan Mbeumo, and Benjamin Sesko are among the top players to have shots.
Etihad Stadium: Home of Manchester City
City Difficult to Beat on Home Soil
City have finished with seven wins, two losses, and one draw in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 2.20 goals per game and conceding 1.10. Man United are winless over their previous six games on their travels. Ruben Amorim’s team have managed five losses, three draws, and two victories in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.20 goals per game and conceding 1.50. United were 2-1 victors against City last time out at Etihad Stadium. There have been four United victories and three City wins in the previous 7 H2H meetings at Etihad Stadium.
Head-to-Head Statistics at Etihad Stadium
The following statistics show the performance of both teams at Etihad Stadium:
- Manchester City Home Stats: 7-1-2, 3.30, 2.20, 1.10, 6, 4, 5, 5
- Manchester United Away Stats: 2-3-5, 2.70, 1.20, 1.50, 4, 6, 5, 5
Conclusion
Manchester City are expected to win against Manchester United based on their recent performance and head-to-head statistics. With odds of 1.74, betting on City to win seems like a good option. Additionally, Erling Haaland is a favourite to score, and various other betting markets are available for those expecting a high-scoring contest or specific player performances. Considering the statistics and odds, it’s a good idea to place a bet on City to win, especially given their strong home record.
