Introduction to Sleeper Picks
Sleeper Picks is the DFS pick’em game available on Sleeper Fantasy. The format is straightforward: build a lineup of multiple players, choose “over” or “under” for one of their statistical projections, and decide how much you’re willing to risk on that lineup. However, to play at Sleeper Picks and actually make money, there are additional steps and processes to consider.
How to Play Sleeper Picks
To start playing, you need to claim your free month of Portfolio EV by signing up with a sportsbook promo. This involves choosing a promo, depositing and placing your first bet, and sending proof to support@oddsshopper.com. Once you’ve completed these steps, you can begin building your lineup and making picks.
Finding +EV Spots
The key to making money with Sleeper Picks is to identify picks that offer you positive expected value, or +EV. To do this, you need to understand the implied probability of each pick and calculate the true odds. Not all projections have the same price, so you’ll need to pay careful attention to the multiplier paired with the over and under for each projection. For something to be +EV, its true odds must be higher than its implied odds.
Calculating Implied Odds
To calculate implied odds, you can identify the multiplier for your pick and run it through an odds converter. You’ll need some market-based or projections-based model to calculate true odds. Alternatively, you can use OddsShopper’s Sleeper Optimizer to do the hard work for you.
OddsShopper’s Sleeper Picks Optimizer
The Sleeper Picks Optimizer is a handy tool that can help you quickly build entries that have +EV. While projections at Sleeper Picks are less often +EV than at other sites, the site’s free squares for new users and Sleeper Sundae discounts can still make playing there a profitable enterprise. The optimizer works by indexing the odds from across the sports betting world to generate a fair, or breakeven, price that we call “true odds.” Once you have this estimate, you can compare it to the implied odds of each available Sleeper Picks projection.
Building a +EV Lineup
Let’s take a look at an example of a three-player lineup with a 5.4x entry payout. The core of this entry is the Jaylen Brown free square, which is available to new users. Beyond the Brown pick, we’re keeping this play above the +EV line with the Nicolas Claxton and Joy Dansum projections. While Claxton’s projection isn’t quite +EV by itself, in conjunction with the Brown pick, the full entry remains a +EV play.
Conclusion
In conclusion, playing at Sleeper Picks requires more than just building a lineup and making picks. You need to understand the implied probability of each pick, calculate the true odds, and use tools like the Sleeper Picks Optimizer to identify +EV spots. By following these steps and using the right strategies, you can make money playing at Sleeper Picks. Remember to take advantage of the site’s free squares and discounts, and don’t be afraid to use the optimizer to help you build a winning lineup. With the right approach, you can succeed at Sleeper Picks and take your DFS pick’em game to the next level.
