Introduction to the Game
The Washington Huskies, with a record of 5-1, are set to visit the Michigan Wolverines, who have a record of 4-2, at Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor, MI, on October 18. The kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 pm EDT. Michigan is favored to win, with the spread sitting at -5.5 points.
Game Details
- Teams: Washington Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines
- Date: October 18
- Time: 12:00 pm EDT
- Location: Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI
- Spread: Michigan -5.5 points
- Over/Under: 50.5 points
Betting Odds and Predictions
The winning team model predicts that Michigan will win this game with a 64.1% confidence level, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results. Additionally, the model predicts that Michigan will cover the spread with a 52.2% confidence level.
Team Statistics and Trends
Washington
- Against the spread (ATS) record: 3-3
- Moneyline record: 5-1
- Over/Under record: 3-3
- Best bets today include hitting the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games and the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games.
Michigan
- ATS record: 2-4
- Moneyline record: 3-2
- Over/Under record: 3-3
- Best bets today include hitting the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games and the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home.
Keys to the Game
Washington
To win, Washington needs to capitalize on Michigan’s weaknesses, particularly their vulnerability to passes of 20+ yards on 3rd and long. Michigan has allowed such passes on 26% of attempts, the worst in the Big Ten.
Michigan
Michigan’s keys to success include their ability to sack opponents in the Red Zone, where they have sacked opponents 4 times this season, the most in the Big Ten. They also excel at tackling opponents for a loss in the Red Zone, with a 30% TFL% this season.
Matchup Notes
Michigan’s performance is significantly affected by the opponent’s rushing attempts. They were 1-4 when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season but were undefeated (7-0) in such situations in the 2023 season. Michigan also struggles when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays, with a record of 2-6 in such situations since the 2024 season.
Offensive and Defensive Stats and Trends
Washington Offensive Stats
Washington needs to exploit Michigan’s defensive vulnerabilities, especially on 3rd and long situations.
Michigan Offensive Stats
Michigan’s offense is affected by the opponent’s defensive strategy, particularly when the opponent rushes more than 30 times.
Washington Defensive Stats
Washington’s defense faces a challenge in Michigan’s ability to sack opponents and tackle them for a loss in the Red Zone.
Michigan Defensive Stats
Michigan’s defense has weaknesses, including allowing passes of 20+ yards on 3rd and long, but they also have strengths like sacking opponents in the Red Zone.
Conclusion
The game between Washington and Michigan is expected to be closely contested, with Michigan favored to win by -5.5 points. Both teams have their strengths and weaknesses, and the outcome will depend on how well each team can capitalize on the other’s vulnerabilities. For those interested in betting, considering the teams’ past performances and trends can provide valuable insights. BetMGM offers a platform for sports betting, including college football, making it easy for fans to engage with the game in a different way. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or a newcomer, there are options available for everyone.
