Introduction to the 2026 NFL Draft
The 2026 NFL Draft is starting to take shape, with significant changes in the futures odds at top sportsbooks following Week 6 of the college football season. Three of the four favorites to go No. 1 overall have seen their odds shift dramatically, while preseason favorites have experienced substantial slides due to their performance this year.
No. 1 Pick Odds for 2026 NFL Draft
There are 14 players with +4000 or shorter odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to go No. 1 overall. The current top dog and other notable players are discussed below.
The Top Dog: Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza
Mendoza, with odds of +340, has been impressive, leading the Hoosiers to victories with 16 passing touchdowns, 1,208 passing yards, and a 73% completion rate in five games. His next challenge is against Oregon in a highly anticipated matchup.
Biggest Risers
Several players have seen significant rises in their odds to go No. 1 overall.
Oregon QB Dante Moore
Moore’s odds have shifted from over +4000 to +470 after leading the Ducks to a double-overtime win at Penn State. He has completed nearly 75% of his passes for 1,210 yards and 14 passing scores this season.
Alabama QB Ty Simpson
Simpson has also seen a notable rise, with his odds changing from +2500 to +650 after strong performances against Georgia and Vanderbilt. He leads the SEC in passing yards with 1,478 and has 13 touchdowns to just one interception.
Massive Slides
Some preseason favorites have experienced substantial drops in their odds due to underwhelming performances.
Penn State QB Drew Allar
Allar’s odds have dropped significantly, from being one of the favorites to +4000, after Penn State’s loss to a previously winless UCLA side. Despite his physical gifts, Allar has yet to consistently perform at a high level, leading to doubts about his potential as the No. 1 pick.
Conclusion
The landscape of the 2026 NFL Draft is evolving, with new favorites emerging and preseason hopefuls sliding down the board. As the college football season progresses, these odds will continue to shift based on performances. The competition for the top spot is heating up, with several quarterbacks making strong cases for themselves. It will be interesting to see how the rest of the season unfolds and which player ultimately goes No. 1 overall in the 2026 NFL Draft.
